Saturday, February 3, 2018

Budget of 2018-19

Ever since this budget was read out by the FM, I have been showing my anguish…. Perhaps that has given impression to all my friends that I am furious because of the re-introduction of LTG i.e. Long Term Capital Gains tax.

No, that is not correct.

In fact as a student of economics, I must say that this was a very good budget in the theory perspectives….it is always good for economy that the government spends on the people at large, to improve their standard of living by giving them good education, healthcare, enhanced income…and to cover these spending to pull money from those who can afford to shelve a bit….

What irks me is that he hardly has any time to prove and fetch the fruits out of this budget….

Modi should have emphasised on executing and delivering on the policies that he has been formulating over last 3 odd years rather than again prescribing new policies…..

The question is where is the execution??

He can’t expect to win elections only by selling dreams all the time….

That’s why I say that he and his FM have become too overoptimistic rather I would say arrogantly overconfident of winning the election.  They feel any shock will be absorbed by the people quietly…
He should have given balanced budget by giving some tax relief to both individuals and corporate and put more stress on the execution of his earlier policies, this year.

Ideally this particular budget should have been Modi’s first budget after winning the next general election….LTG as well as no tax relief would have got absorbed….and also he would have got next full term to show  results to the world and certainly win the subsequent election too.

 If you ask any sound economist to evaluate this budget neutrally, then FM is most likely to get 8/10 marks.  Because it is indeed a good budget for India’s overall growth, if everything is executed adequately then we shall see the results over next 3-4 years….but then perhaps the credit will be taken by the next government!!

Though I am not a big fan of our politicians, I strongly feel that as on today if there is any one politician in India who can do good for our country then its Modi.  It would be unfortunate for our country if Modi doesn’t get another term!!

That’s why I say that if at all Modi has to lose next election then this particular budget was the last straw on the camel’s back….